Skip to main content
Log in

Development of predictive model for the growth of Staphylococcus aureus in Kimbab

  • Research Article
  • Published:
Food Science and Biotechnology Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This study was conducted to develop predictive models for the growth of Staphylococcus aureus in kimbab as a function of storage temperatures (7, 10, 12, 14, 16, 20, 25, and 30°C). The growth data were fitted into the modified Gompertz model and the Logistic model, and the goodness-of-fit of primary models was compared using determination of coefficient, mean square error, and Akaike’s information criterion. The modified Gompertz model was found to be more suitable to describe the growth data. Therefore, the growth rate (GR) and lag time (LT) obtained from the modified Gompertz model were employed to establish the secondary models. The newly developed models were validated using root mean square error (RMSE), bias factor (Bf), and accuracy factor (Af). The results showed that RMSE<0.20 and Bf and Af values were within the reliable range, which indicated that the presented predictive models can be used to assess the risk of S. aureus infection in kimbab.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Bahk GJ, Todd ECD, Hong CH, Oh DH, Ha SD. Exposure assessment for Bacillus cereus in ready-to-eat kimbab selling at stores. Food Control 18: 682–688 (2007)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Bahk GJ, Hong CH, Oh DH, Ha SD, Park K, Todd ECD. Modeling the level of contamination of Staphylococcus aureus in ready-to-eat kimbab in Korea. J. Food Protect. 69: 1340–1346 (2006)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Chung HJ, Lee NY, Jo C, Shin DH, Byun MW. Use of γ irradiation for inactivation of pathogens inoculated into kimbab, steamed rice rolled by dried laver. Food Control 18: 108–112 (2007)

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  4. Rho MJ, Schaffner DW. Microbial risk assessment of staphylococcal food poisoning in Korean kimbab. Int. J. Food Microbiol. 116: 332–328 (2007)

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  5. Jin SS, Bimal KK, Choi JH, Ha SD, Hong CH, Woo CJ, Oh DH. The growth of Staphylococcus aureus on kimbab at different temperatures (abstract no. P6-64). In: Abstracts: Annual Meeting of International Symposium. November 17–19, Cheju Island, Korea. Korean Society of Food Science and Nutrition, Seoul, Korea (2004)

  6. Jin SS, Bimal KK, Ha SD, Hong CH, Bahk GJ, Woo CJ. Predictive models for the growth of Bacillus cereus and Staphylococcus aureus in ready-to-eat kimbab in Korea (abstract no. P3-52). In: Abstracts: International Association of Food Protection 2005 Meeting. August 14–17, Baltimore, MD, USA. International Association of Food Protection, Des Moines, IA, USA (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Park SY, Choi J, Yeon J, Lee MJ, Oh DH, Hong C, Bahk G, Woo G, Park J, Ha SD. Assessment of contamination level of foodborne pathogens in the main ingredients of kimbab during the preparing process. Korean J. Food Sci. Technol. 37: 122–128 (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Kim JY, Kwon IK, Ha SY, Hong CH. Changes of contamination level of Listeria spp. during the processing environments in kimbab restaurants. J. Food Hyg. Safety 20: 232–236 (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Bang WS, Chung HJ, Jin SS, Ding T, Hwang IG, Woo GJ, Ha SD, Bahk GJ, Oh DH. Prediction of Listeria monocytogenes growth kinetics in sausages formulated with antimicrobials as a function of temperature and concentrations. Food Sci. Biotechnol. 17: 1316–1321 (2008)

    Google Scholar 

  10. Whiting RC. Microbial modeling in foods. Crit. Rev. Food Sci. 35: 467–494 (1995)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Bovil RA, Bew J, Baranyi J. Measurements, and predictions of growth for Listeria monocytogenes and Salmonella during fluctuating temperature. II. Rapidly changing temperatures. Int. J. Food Microbiol. 67: 131–137 (2001)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Juneja VK, Melendres MV, Huang L, Gumudavelli V, Subbiah J, Thippareddi H. Modeling the effect of temperature on growth of Salmonella in chicken. Food Microbiol. 24: 328–335 (2007)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Fujikawa H, Morozumi S. Modeling Staphylococcus aureus growth and enterotoxin production in milk. Food Microbiol. 23: 260–267 (2006)

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  14. Sutherland JP, Bayliss AJ, Roberts TA. Predictive modelling of growth of Staphylococcus aureus: The effects of temperature, pH, and sodium chloride. Int. J. Food Microbiol. 21: 217–236 (1994)

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  15. Valero A, Perez-Rodriguez F, Carrasco E, Fuentes-Alventosa JM, Garcia-Gimeno RM, Zurera G. Modelling the growth boundaries of Staphylococcus aureus: Effect of temperature, pH, and water activity. Int. J. Food Microbiol. 133: 186–194 (2009)

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  16. Duffy LL, Vanderlinde PB, Grau FH. Growth of Listeria monocytogenes on vacuum-packed cooked meats: Effects of pH, Aw, nitrite, and ascorbate. Int. J. Food Microbiol. 23: 377–390 (1994)

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  17. Grau FH, Vanderlinde PB. Aerobic growth of Listeria monocytogenes on beef lean and fatty tissue: Equations describing the effects of temperature and pH. J. Food Protect. 56: 96–101 (1993)

    Google Scholar 

  18. Zhou K, Fu P, Li PL, Cheng WP, Liang ZH. Predictive modelling and validation of growth at different temperatures of Brochothrix thermosphacta. J. Food Safety 29: 460–473 (2008)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Adair C, Kilsby DC, Whittall PT. Comparison of the schoolfield (non-linear Arrhenius) model and the square root model for predicting bacterial growth in foods. Food Microbiol. 6: 7–18 (1989)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  20. Sutherland JP, Bayliss AJ. Predictive modelling of Yersinia enterocolitica: The effects of temperature, pH, and sodium chloride. Int. J. Food Microbiol. 21: 197–215 (1994)

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  21. Akaike H. A new look at the statistical model identification. IEEE T. Automat. Contr. 19: 716–723 (1974)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  22. Ding T, Shim YH, Choi NJ, Ha SD, Chung MS, Hwang IG, Oh DH. Mathematical modeling on the growth of Staphylococcus aureus in sandwich. Food Sci. Biotechnol. 19: 763–768 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  23. Box GEP, Draper NR. Least squares for response surface work. pp. 34–103. In: Empirical Model-building and Response Surfaces. Wiley, New York, NY, USA (1987)

    Google Scholar 

  24. Dong QL, Tu K, Guo LY, Li HW, Zhao Y. Response surface model for prediction of growth parameters from spores of Clostridium sporogenes under different experimental conditions. Food Microbiol. 24: 624–632 (2007)

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  25. Dalgaard P, Jorgensen LV. Predicted and observed growth of Listeria monocytogenes in seafood challenge tests and in naturally contaminated cold-smoked salmon. Int. J. Food Microbiol. 40: 105–115 (1998)

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  26. Ross T. Indices for performance evaluation of predictive models in food microbiology. J. Appl. Bacteriol. 81: 501–508 (1996)

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  27. Te-Giffel MC, Zwietering MH. Validation of predictive models describing the growth of Listeria monocytogenes. Int. J. Food Microbiol. 46: 135–149 (1999)

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  28. Ross T. Predictive Food Microbiology Models in the Meat Industry. Meat and Livestock Australia, Sydney, Australia. p. 196 (1999)

    Google Scholar 

  29. Ross T, Dalgaard P, Tienungoon S. Predictive modeling of the growth and survival of Listeria in fishery products. Int. J. Food Microbiol. 62: 231–245 (2000)

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  30. Carrasco E, Petez-Rodriguez F, Valero A, Garcia-Gimeno RM, Zurera G. Growth of Listeria monocytogenes on shredded, ready-toeat iceberg lettuce. Food Control 19: 487–494 (2007)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  31. Schaffner DW. The application of the WLF equation to predict lag time as a function of temperature for three psychrotrophic bacteria. Int. J. Food Microbiol. 27: 107–115 (1995)

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  32. Delignette-Muller ML, Rosso L, Flandrois JP. Accuracy of microbial growth predictions with square root and polynomial models. Int. J. Food Microbiol. 27: 139–146 (1995)

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Deog-Hwan Oh.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Ding, T., Shim, YH., Kim, HN. et al. Development of predictive model for the growth of Staphylococcus aureus in Kimbab . Food Sci Biotechnol 20, 471–476 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10068-011-0065-y

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10068-011-0065-y

Keywords

Navigation